March 28, 2005
Weather Wrinkle
After soaking rains today (with a chance of thunder, according to the computer models!), it looks like spring will try to make an appearance starting Wednesday. But meteorologist Jeff Berardelli's weather analysis is 100% correct when he mentions the possibility of a backdoor cold front as a fly in the ointment. (Scroll down past his discussion of today's convective rains and you'll find it at the bottom.)
It's common sense. When you're sitting next to a 40-degree ocean and have rising heat inland, air currents will strongly bias towards onshore winds. Sometimes this onshore component comes in as the more formal backdoor cold front; sometimes it is just a local sea breeze. At any rate, I'm looking at forecasts for 60 or above by midweek and remaining a little skeptical. Without strong prevailing offshore winds (out of the west or northwest), coastal areas are too prone to this cooling effect.
As Jeff says, it's bust season. Predictions for 60s, actual highs in the 40s. Given the indications right now, I'd probably split the difference and go for highs in the lower to mid 50s--40s at the beaches--and wait and see for a better sense of the wind direction. Nobody wants to be told it will be sunny and 65 and then have drizzle, fog and 43.
