January 22, 2004

Breaking the Ice 


Every 3-5 weeks, the atmosphere tends to reconfigure itself in the way storms travel across the country. The good news: it looks like that change is about to occur after this weekend. The relentless cold and wind, generated by a frigid pool of air over Eastern Canada known as a polar vortex, will finally give way somewhat to a more active southern jet stream. This will set up a more active weather pattern with fluctuations of warm and cold more typical for New York City.

With this pattern, the likelihood of a snowstorm increases because cold and warm air are interacting more along the Atlantic coast, but nothing is a sure bet. The pattern could be active, but all the storms could pass to our south. Also, there is no assurance that any one storm will take the path required to generate snow instead of a mixture or rain in the city. Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future developments, and the suggestion of a pattern change is not intended for reliance in the purchase of snow shovels.

I guess this explains how an interest in weather could easily lead to an interest in the stock market.

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